Prosper Obah.

The decision on Prosper Obah in three parts: which squads the numbers argue for, what profiles like his have cost, and what the file cannot vouch for.

1. Fit, ranked

8 clubs were scored on level, squad need and feasibility. Genclerbirligi Ankara is ranked first for fit: FW group is 5 deep against a league median of 8, 3 contracts up by Jun 2027. The engine reads him as a moderate step-up (Level 558 against a cohort average of 406). A rank is a statement about fit, not a forecast: the engine does not say where he goes, only which squads the numbers argue for.

2. Price context

His recorded market value sits inside the band.

3. Risk flags

Higher-Level players have sold for higher fees: rank correlation +0.24 across 1257 sales abroad with a disclosed fee. The Level is a modest guide to playing time after a move: 39% of top-quartile players got at least 15 full matches of league football in a season at their new club, against 28% from the bottom quartile. Nothing on this page predicts who moves or who succeeds after moving. The fit ranking states which squads the numbers argue for; the price band states what comparable transfers fetched; the flags state what the file cannot vouch for.

1 completed outgoing move on record across 2025: 1 permanent, 0 loans, 1 permanent move abroad.

Market value is the Transfermarkt estimate at the time of the move, not a fee. “not recorded” means the source holds no figure - it never means zero.

Season data places him at Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukrainian Premier League as of 25/26.

The Latent Level is one number comparable across our seven leagues: a performance composite, adjusted for opponent strength within the league and for the league's own strength - calibrated on how players from each league actually fared after moving, not on reputation. It is an index on a 0 to 1,000 scale, not a percentile or a percentage, and cohort averages differ by competition - so it is only readable next to the positional average printed beside it.

His Level of 558 is above the average for an Ukrainian Premier League forward. That average is drawn from 48 forwards who played at least 270 minutes in the Ukrainian Premier League in the 2025/26 season.

Every percentile below ranks Prosper Obah within the group of 48 forwards who played at least 270 minutes in the Ukrainian Premier League in the 2025/26 season. He is compared only with players from his own league, season and position, never across leagues or divisions.

One season carries a Level, so the trajectory is read inside it. 8 monthly checkpoints, each a rating that was computable on that date against the full-season cohort of 48 forwards. The swing across the season was 53 points, against a positional average of 406.

Each checkpoint rescores his season-to-date per-90s at the end of that month against the full-season cohort of players in his position and competition, with opponent adjustment and the continental factor held at their season values, so the last checkpoint equals his published Level.

His own record holds 1 permanent move abroad: Shakhtar D. (Ukraine, €4.5m). Fees paid for him so far: €4.5m to Shakhtar D..

Each card's cost line is what completed moves on that route have gone for - it prices the route, not the player. The recommended range for Prosper Obah himself is €2.19m–€5.69m, from his closest comparable transfers (Valuation & comps). Where a route's band sits above it, that is the destination market's price level, not a higher valuation of him.

Prosper Obah is a Complete forward. Below: his nearest statistical neighbours side by side, then the ones who earned a move and what it cost.

How Prosper Obah is trending match by match in the UPL 25/26 - not the season average, but the direction of travel. Each reading is his trailing 10 appearances, a window wide enough to smooth one-game noise while still moving when his level does, with every match weighed by opposition difficulty.

This log covers his 25/26 season at LNZ Cherkasy - before his move to Shakhtar Donetsk, whose fixtures can therefore appear here as opposition.

Trailing rate over the last 10 appearances, every match weighed by opposition difficulty. A gap in a line means the window fell below the minutes gate for that stat - withheld rather than invented, never zero. Grey lines are involvement metrics, not better-is-higher.

Opposition difficulty is the opponent's points-per-match from our own finished results, 1.0 = league average - a per-match weight, never a league table; “—” = under 5 matches played. Showing the 14 most recent of 26 appearances.

What Prosper Obah should cost, grounded in what comparable players actually cost. His market value is set against a performance model built on his own age and position group (n=1,837); the range below comes from 30 comparable transfers with recorded fees, not from optimism.

These three numbers measure different things, and here the range sits above what his output alone predicts. That is not a conflict: the performance model prices output only, while the range is what buyers actually paid for the closest comparable profiles - profiles that, like his, sold on age and trajectory as well as the season's numbers. The range is the price a selling club can hold; the model number is the floor his output alone would justify.

Comps are completed transfers scored for closeness on age at the move, position, minutes load, output, the level of both leagues and recency; fees are as recorded, never asking prices. The recommended range is set by the closest matches, not the full spread plotted above: read it as what the market has recently paid for this profile. Method: comps v2.0 (2026-08-15).

Every number in this report is computed from sources we name, under rules we publish, with its gaps stated. What follows is the full list of methods and limits - including the things this report deliberately does not claim.

Sources: SofaScore (per-match), Transfermarkt (market & transfers). Generated 2026-09-21. Questions about any figure in this report are welcome - every one is reproducible from the stated method.